
Re: Spuma zilelor ... jurnal de lectura !!!

- The Kremlin’s heavy-handed approach to partial mobilization may
successfully meet the Kremlin’s internal quota of mobilized personnel, but is
unlikely to generate effective soldiers and is prompting significant domestic
backlash for little gain.
- The Kremlin is openly not adhering to its promised conditions for partial
mobilization.
- Kremlin quotas will likely force local officials to mobilize any men,
regardless of their military status, to meet quota numbers and will likely
incentivize the mobilization of ethnically non-Russian and immigrant
communities at a disproportional rate.
- The Kremlin likely attempted to downplay a prisoner swap with Ukraine
that is deeply unpopular among Russian nationalists and milbloggers by
undertaking the swap the same day Putin announced partial mobilization.
- IAEA negotiations around the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant are unlikely
to significantly improve the situation at the plant and may provide an
information opportunity for Russian forces to stage provocations.
- Ukrainian forces likely continued limited counteroffensive operations along
the Kharkiv-Luhansk Oblast border and continued attacks toward Lyman on
September 22.
- Ukrainian military officials maintained their operational silence regarding
Ukrainian ground attacks in Kherson Oblast on September 22 and reiterated
that Ukrainian forces are conducting an operational-level interdiction
campaign in Kherson Oblast.
- Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks along the frontlines in
Donetsk Oblast on September 22.
- Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks west of
Hulyaipole on September 22 and continued routine strikes throughout
western Zaporizhia Oblast.
- Russian occupation forces are hurriedly setting conditions to hold sham
annexation referenda across occupied Ukraine from September 23-27.
- Russian officials created polling stations in parts of Russia, ostensibly to
enable displaced (in many cases meaning kidnapped) Ukrainian residents
of occupied territories to “vote.”
- Russian occupation officials in Ukraine likely expect to be forced to provide
personnel to meet Russian regional mobilization quotas after the Kremlin
annexes occupied Ukrainian territories.
(isw)